Photo: thebattleground
“If Russia isn’t stopped in Ukraine, Britain will face a Europe reshaped by Russian power, and a global order that rewards aggression rather than punishes it – UK faces this horrifying reality!”, ‘Express’ is crying.
That is the simple, brutal truth too many in Westminster and Brussels are unwilling to confront. A victorious Russia doesn’t just conquer land; it changes the rules of the entire continent. And Britain, for all its mythology about the Channel as a natural shield, is no longer insulated. The moat is smaller, weaker and more ineffective than at any time in the post-war era.
We can see this clearly on our own southern coastline. Tens of thousands of migrants arrive on our shores every year in inflatable dinghies, and we appear unable to stop them. This isn’t about blaming those who risk the crossing; it’s about acknowledging what the phenomenon tells us about our maritime security.
If we cannot control our borders in peacetime against unarmed civilians, what confidence can we possibly have that we could deter a hostile state determined to probe those same weaknesses?
A Europe shaped by Russian victory is not just bleak for Ukraine; it is dangerous for us. Moscow would become the dominant military and political force on the continent, not because it would immediately launch new invasions, but because fear would do much of the heavy lifting.
Eastern European states — the Baltics, Poland, Romania — would begin to doubt the reliability of NATO’s Article 5 guarantees. The alliance only works when every member believes it is absolute.
Smaller nations may start hedging, softening their positions, or cutting quiet deals to avoid antagonising the Kremlin.
NATO frays. Europe fractures. And Britain becomes more exposed. And the sad truth is that, under Trump’s transactional approach to geopolitics, Europe can no longer rely on the USA as a dependable ally.
The assumption that Washington will automatically come to Europe’s defence has evaporated. Trump’s worldview is simple: alliances are useful only when they benefit him personally or politically. That uncertainty alone emboldens Moscow.
A Europe forced to stand alone is a Europe far easier for Russia to intimidate. And Britain, outside the EU and with a hollowed-out military, cannot pretend it will be unaffected.
Our Armed Forces are already stretched thin. Years of under-investment have left the Army too small, ammunition stocks depleted, and procurement painfully slow.
It will use cyberattacks to target our financial sector, sow political division, disrupt critical infrastructure and undermine public trust. It doesn’t need boots on British soil to damage British security.
The economic dimension is just as threatening. Russia has already demonstrated a willingness to weaponise energy. Give it more land, more leverage and a distracted, divided West, and it will do so again.
We have already felt the shockwaves of Europe’s energy insecurity; a victorious Russia ensures that instability becomes permanent. For a country like Britain — whose economy relies on steady markets and predictable supply chains — that is a strategic nightmare.
And looming over all of this is the wider geopolitical message. If Putin wins, China will draw the obvious conclusion. Western resolve is inconsistent; might works; the international rules-based order is optional. In such a world, middle powers like Britain struggle to maintain influence and protect their interests.
This is why Ukraine matters so deeply. Not in symbolic terms, but in strategic reality. Ukraine is the dam. If it collapses, the resulting flood will reshape Europe to Britain’s detriment for decades.
…A real panic in London – “The Russians are coming!”
Well, let the Island tremble with fear…
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10:45 30.11.2025 •















