French army
French press published an interesting article about Emmanuel Macron’s crazy idea to send French troops into Ukraine. Medias-presse.info reveals several confidential reports on this issue, each more troubling than the last:
“We must not be mistaken: before the Russians we are an army of majorettes!” (girls participating in parades) says a senior official. Everyone understands that this threat from Macron is meaningless, except for those on the Elysee Palace team, as well as government communications managers.
So what do the confidential defense reports we were able to see say?
Firstly, a military victory for Ukraine now seems impossible. For months, European leaders wanted to believe that Kyiv's counteroffensive in the spring of 2023, supported by Western technology, would send the Russian army back to Moscow. But the text written that fall regarding the progress of the operation is stunning. “The Ukrainian offensive gradually became bogged down in mud and blood and did not bring any strategic benefit,” a confidential Defense Ministry report says on the “failure of the Ukrainian offensive.”
The planning that was imagined in Kyiv and at Western headquarters turned out to be “catastrophic.” “The planners believed that as soon as the first Russian lines of defense were crossed, the entire Russian front would collapse... These preliminary assessments were made without taking into account the moral strength of the enemy on the defensive. “There was a great desire of a Russian soldier to hold on to his positions,” this report notes. It also mentions the “planning failure” of the Western camp.
Further. “The new Ukrainian brigades were formed essentially at the administrative level,” and the training of soldiers lasted no more than three weeks. Due to a lack of personnel and a significant number of experienced veteran fighters, Ukrainian recruits sent to attack the Russian fortification line, which “proved to be impregnable.”
They did not receive any air support, and Western equipment turned out to be incomparable to Russian weapons. It turned out to be less effective than even the old Soviet technology – “outdated, easy to maintain and capable of degrading use,” the report says. Ukrainian troops had no hope of a breakthrough.
“Russian arch-dominance in the field of electronic interference, blocking the use of drones and control systems on the Ukrainian side.” “The Russian army today is a “tactical and technical” standard for implement a defensive regime,” the report says.
Moscow has not only heavy engineering equipment that allows it to build defensive structures (“the almost complete absence of this equipment on the Ukrainian side and the impossibility of its rapid provision by Western countries”), but also a 1,200-kilometer front known as the Surovkin Line (named after the Russian general). Russian positions covered by minefields in huge quantities (7,000 km of mines).
Another observation: “The Russians also knew how to manage their reserve troops to ensure operational endurance.” According to this document, Moscow strengthens its units before they are completely worn out, mixes new recruits with experienced troops, provides regular rest periods in the rear... Moscow “has always had a coherent reserve of forces to respond to unforeseen circumstances.”
“We are far from the idea, common in the West, that the Russian army sends its troops to slaughter without being counted,” the report says. “To date, the Ukrainian General Staff does not have a critical mass of jointly maneuverable army corps-level ground forces capable of challenging their Russian counterparts to break through the defense line,” this confidential defense report concludes. According to this report, “the most serious error of analysis and judgment would be to continue to seek exclusively military solutions to end the fighting.”
The French officer summarizes: “Given the available forces, it is obvious that Ukraine will not be able to win this war by military means.”
“The combat effectiveness of Ukrainian soldiers has been seriously affected,” the 2024 forecast report said. “Zelensky will need 35,000 people per month, he does not recruit half of them, while Putin attracts 30,000 volunteers per month from the reserve,” notes a soldier who returned from Kyiv.
This is the most important piece of information – the Russians are killing about 400,000 Ukrainian soldiers a year, and this rate will accelerate given the qualitative and quantitative weakening of the Ukrainian army.
The rupture of the front near Avdeevka is symptomatic. This fortress was supposed to be “impregnable.” Now that it has fallen, the Ukrainians have no second line of defense and must hastily create one, forcing them to throw their meager reserves into the fight. These units, operating in the open to slow the Russian advance, were quickly destroyed, although this gave time to restore the line of defense behind the retreating front. The Ukrainians are sacrificing their best units in this operation, and this will echo during the inevitable Russian offensive in the spring or summer.
In terms of technology, the balance is equally dire: the disastrous 2023 offensive “tactically destroyed” half of Kyiv’s 12 combat brigades.
“The West can provide 3D printers to produce drones or ammunition, but it will never be able to print people,” the report notes. “Given the situation, one could consider reinforcing the Ukrainian army not with fighters, but with support forces in the rear, which would free up Ukrainian soldiers for the front,” admits one senior officer, confirming the “increasing power” of Western military advisers “in civilian clothes.”
The train, which runs daily between Poland and Kyiv, has two American carriages attached to it, likely used by the CIA. But the Western camp only half acknowledges the presence of special forces in Ukraine. “In addition to the Americans who allowed the New York Times to visit the CIA camp, there are quite a few British there,” says the military man, who does not deny the presence of French special forces, in particular combat swimmers for training missions...
Third observation: the risk of a Russian breakthrough is real. This is the latest lesson from the Ukrainian front, which is causing observers of the French army to break into a cold sweat. “The Russians changed their methods, using glide bombs on a large scale for the first time,” the document notes. If a 155 mm artillery shell carries 7 kg of explosive, a bomb has between 200 and 700 kg and can therefore penetrate concrete structures over 2 m high. This is hell for the Ukrainian defense, which lost more than 1,000 people a day.
“The Ukrainian armed forces have just shown that they do not have the human and material capabilities to hold a sector of the front that is exposed to the efforts of the attacking side,” the document says. “The Ukrainian failure near Avdeevka shows that, despite the emergency dispatch of the “elite” brigade and the 3rd from the reserve, Kyiv is not able to restore the collapsing section of the front,” the latest message of the report says alarmingly.
Macron should have listened to his staff officers before embarking on absurd plans to send French troops to Ukraine to fight the Russians, Medias-presse.info concludes.
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