Secret report forecasts a ‘bleak future’ in Canada

12:04 05.04.2024 •

A Canadian discontent…

A "secret" Royal Canadian Mounted Police report paints a dark picture of Canada's future. Obtained through an access to information request, the heavily redacted document outlines troubling trends to prepare for in Canada, including climate change, misinformation, government distrust and a global recession, CTVNews informs.

"The global community has experienced a series of crises, with COVID-19, supply-chain issues, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine all sending shockwaves throughout the world," the report's introduction states. "The situation will probably deteriorate further in the next five years, as the early effects of climate change and a global recession add their weight to the ongoing crises."

Published in 2023, the declassified report quotes French President Emmanuel Macron on "the end of abundance" and notes that future economic forecasts are "bleak."

"The coming period of recession will also accelerate the decline in living standards that the younger generations have already witnessed compared to earlier generations," the nine-page report predicts in a section titled "Popular Resentment."

It goes on to state that "many Canadians under 35 are unlikely ever to be able to buy a place to live."

"The fallout from this decline in living standards will be exacerbated by the fact that the difference between the extremes of wealth is greater now in developed countries than it has been at any time in several generations," the report adds.

The report also includes sections on "Erosion of Trust," "Paranoid Populism" and "Effects of Climate Devastation."

"Law enforcement should anticipate that these destructive weather patterns will affect all facets of government, including damage to critical infrastructure, increasing pressure to cede Arctic territory, and more," the report cautions. "Law enforcement should expect continuing social and political polarization fueled by misinformation campaigns and an increasing mistrust for all democratic institutions."

A section on the "Arctic" warns that Northern Canada will experience the effects of climate change sooner than the rest of the country.

"Shrinking polar icecaps are providing access to untapped raw materials and new paths for transportation," the report explains. "This new opportunity for profit is causing several countries to expand their territorial claims in the area."

The report also highlights challenges posed by new and emerging technologies.

"Through such mechanisms as social media, the Internet of Things, and biometric identifiers, big data is and will increasingly be available on a scale that is difficult to quantify," it adds. "Access to this data will allow private entities to develop the means to exercise undue influence over individuals and populations at an unprecedented level."

Titled "Whole-of-Government Five-Year Trends for Canada," the report was based on information compiled by the RCMP between June and October 2022. It was obtained through an access to information request and provided to by Matt Malone, an assistant law professor and government secrecy researcher at Thompson Rivers University in B.C.

Despite being based on "open source information," entire pages and sections are redacted in white.

In a statement to, the RCMP said the report was written by the force's Federal Policing Strategic Management team in 2023.


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