Shock survey: 100M adults now say “CIVIL WAR in America”!

11:40 05.05.2024 •

Shock survey shows 100M adults now say CIVIL WAR will rip America apart within five years, as student rallies get ugly.

Fully 41 percent of voters say a civil conflict is in America's near-term future.

That amounts to 106 million adults who see the country headed for chaos.

More than four-in-ten US voters say the country is likely to get ripped apart in a second civil war within five years, a shocking new survey reveals.

The Rasmussen Reports poll shows that 41 percent eye a civil conflict, compared to 49 percent who say it's not likely. Another 10 percent said they were not sure.

That amounts to 106 million US adults saying civil war is on the horizon.

The survey comes against a backdrop of mounting violence on US college campuses, where pro-Palestine protestors clash with law enforcers, conservatives, some Jewish students and others.

For many Americans, the pro-Palestine protests roiling US campuses expose a widening chasm between conservatives and liberals that could get even nastier in a divisive election year.

It also comes as the Alex Garland's dystopian political action film Civil War remains a box office favorite, with US secessionist groups saying it offers a plausible near-term account of America's collapse into violent anarchy.

Rasmussen said the specter of civil war looms large this election year, with a divisive race pitting President Joe Biden against his predecessor Donald Trump.

Americans now worry about a rerun of the 1861-1865 civil war, which saw 11 southern states break away over the institution of slavery, ultimately ending in their defeat after four bloody years of war.

'The possibility that America could face another civil war soon is not too far-fetched for a lot of voters,' the pollsters said about their survey.

'Such discussions got a boost after the new movie Civil War made its debut as number one at the box office last month.'

The survey of 1,105 voters late last month found that women, younger adults, and non-white Americans were more concerned about a conflict breaking out.

Republican voters were more certain that Americans would take up arms against their countrymen than did Democrats.

Fully 54 percent of GOP voters saw a civil war breaking out by 2029.

A Joe Biden win in November makes the prospect of conflict more likely, voters said.

Respondents were also asked whether the outcome of November's presidential election would change the odds of conflict erupting.

Fully 37 percent of respondents said a Biden victory would make a war more likely, compared to 25 percent who said that of a Trump win.

Another 30 percent said it didn't make much difference whether the Democrat or the Republican candidate won; and 8 percent said they were not sure.

The nationwide survey had an error margin of +/- 3 percentage points.

For many Americans, the protests roiling US campuses expose a fault line between conservatives and liberals that has widened in recent years.

Students at dozens of schools have rallied or camped out in recent days to oppose Israel's war in Gaza, demanding institutions stop doing business with companies that support the war.

Conservative politicians have denounced them as radicals, Marxists and anti-Semitic as the police crackdowns and counter-protests intensify.

America's secessionist movements, which are strongest in Texas, California, and Alaska, say the violent protests chart a course to the kinds of violence depicted in the Civil War movie.

Louis Marinelli, the president and founder of Yes California, which wants the Golden State's coastal area to break away, says the US could well be headed for a civil conflict.

'The coming American civil war will be fought between the people of this country based on ideology,' Marinelli told

'We have two diverging and incompatible sets of values in this country that can no longer coexist.'

Marinelli calls for 'drastic measures' to revise the Constitution and reboot politics to avoid a devastating fracture.

Texas secessionist Daniel Miller says writer and director Alex Garland's ominous dystopia has tapped a nerve.

Miller has since 1996 pushed for the Lone Star state to exit the union, in what's known as 'Texit.'

'Texas independence, or the breakup of the union, keeps occurring in popular culture,' says Miller,  president of the Texas Nationalist Movement.

'The release of the movie is pouring gasoline on the fire of the conversation around Texit.'

Civil War turns the 'conscious or subconscious' desires of viewers into 109 minutes of fun, he says.

The tense thriller sees a US that has collapsed into full-blown armed conflict.

The military powers of Texas and California have united as Western Forces, which are descending on Washington, DC.

Daniel Miller, center right, president of the Texas Nationalist Movement, says the movie is '100 percent plausible'.

Alaska is the most secessionist-leaning state in the US. It joined the country in 1867.

They seek to overthrow an authoritarian US president, played by Nick Offerman.

Meanwhile, fictional Reuters photographer Lee (Kirsten Dunst) and reporter Joel (Wagner Moura) take to the road with the aim of reaching the capital before it falls to rebels.

The movie is vague about how America descended into a second civil conflict.

The president has ripped up the rule book — bombing civilians, cancelling elections and granting himself a third term.

The fictional commander-in-chief is not too far from modern-day reality, says Miller.

He calls the movie a '100 percent plausible' account of America tearing itself apart.

Fully 36 percent of Alaskans want to call it a day and leave the union, according to a recent YouGov survey of 35,000 people.

That's a more popular movement than the 31 percent of Texans who want out.

Democrat-run California and New York are next in line to abandon ship, with 29 percent and 28 percent of residents favoring secession, respectively.

Oklahomans (28 percent), Nebraskans (25 percent), Georgians (25 percent), Floridians (24 percent) and Washingtonians (24 percent) are also eyeing the door.

At the other end of the spectrum is Connecticut, with just 9 percent of its relatively content residents seeking an out.

Larger states with distinct cultures and stronger go-it-alone economies generally lean toward secession more than others.

Sign of discontent. A person waves a communist flag at the far-left May Day protest outside the Oregon state capitol.


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