Pic.: goodreturns
Trump’s tariffs have caused a massive wave of panic on Wall Street, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1,679 points on Thursday. That was the biggest decline that we have seen since the early days of the pandemic in 2020. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq also experienced the largest declines that we have seen since 2020. Everywhere you look there is carnage. What we are witnessing is absolutely horrifying, stresses Michael Snyder, a well-known American economic commentator who writes and edits his own blogs The American Dream and Economic Collapse Blog.
The reason why there is so much fear is because U.S. tariff rates will now be even higher than they were during the early days of the Great Depression…
Trump’s aggressive tariff moves are set to lift the US tariffs rate from just 2.5% last year to 22%, according to Fitch.
That surpasses the roughly 20% tariff rate the United States charged following the infamous Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which set off a global trade war that economists say worsened the Great Depression.
Our system is not designed to handle a shock like this.
Pic.: Bloomberg
We needed to address our trade imbalances with a scalpel, not a sledgehammer.
The European Union is already telling us that they will retaliate with new tariffs of their own…
The European Union has condemned Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs as ‘a major blow to the world economy’, with world leaders going on the defensive as they digest what the bombshell measures will mean for global trade.
And the Chinese are warning that they will be implementing “countermeasures”…
Nikkei Asia quoted China’s Ministry of Commerce, warning that it “firmly opposes” Trump’s tariffs and “will resolutely take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests.”
The Commerce Ministry noted that the US “ignored” the benefits of a global trading system, adding, “The so-called ‘reciprocal tariffs,’ which are based on subjective and unilateral assessments by the United States, are not in line with the rules of international trade, seriously jeopardize the legitimate rights and interests of the parties concerned, and are typical of unilateral bullying.”
Our relations with China have been on a downhill trajectory for a long time, and now Chinese officials are absolutely furious.
They know that their economy is going to get hit extremely hard by these tariffs.
In fact, pretty much all major Asian economies will get hit extremely hard by these tariffs…
“Asian economies will be hit harder than most by U.S. reciprocal tariffs,” said Marcel Thieliant, head of Asia-Pacific at Capital Economics. “Not only do Asian economies face higher tariffs than many others, they are also more dependent on U.S. goods demand than most.”
I have written much about how dependent we have become on imports from China.
But the truth is that we have also become highly dependent on imports from other Asian nations as well.
For example, the new 46 percent tariff on goods from Vietnam will be extremely painful for U.S. consumers, because we import vast amounts of clothing, toys, furniture and shoes from that country.
In fact, almost one-third of all footwear imports “came from Vietnam in 2023”…
The era of cheap shoes is ending.
Of course the exact same thing could be said about countless other product categories.
Peter Baum, the chief operating officer of Baum Essex, is warning that this “is how you start a global Depression”…
We haven’t seen an economic event of this magnitude in a long time.
Analysts at JPMorgan are warning that we are facing “a substantial macro economic shock” and that U.S. consumers should brace themselves for substantially higher prices…
JPMorgan noted that the tariffs would hike taxes on Americans by $660 billion a year — the largest tax increase in recent memory by a longshot. It will cause prices to surge, too, adding 2% to the Consumer Price Index, a measure of US inflation that has struggled to come back down to earth in recent years.
“The impact on inflation will be substantial,” the analysts said. “We view the full implementation of these policies as a substantial macro economic shock.”
As this economic shock reverberates throughout the U.S. economy, large numbers of people are going to lose their jobs.
Layoffs across the U.S. surged 205% in March when compared with a year earlier, with last month’s 275,240 job cuts fueled by widespread firings engineered by billionaire Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
March’s layoffs represent the third-highest monthly total ever recorded, Challenger said. The two previous highest monthly totals were recorded in April 2020 and May 2020, when more than 671,000 and 397,000 job cuts, respectively, were recorded, due to the pandemic shuttering the U.S. economy, according to its data.
We are going to witness such a dramatic shift in the auto industry.
Trump is imposing a 25 percent tariff on all vehicles imported into the United States, and this is going to instantly make imported vehicles much more expensive…
The 25% tariffs are on any vehicle not assembled in the U.S., which S&P Global Mobility reports accounted for 46% of the roughly 16 million vehicles sold domestically last year. The White House has said it also plans to place tariffs on some auto parts such as engines and transmissions, but those are set to take effect no later than May 3.
The global economy was already slowing down significantly.
A disruption of this magnitude threatens to throw it into a state of complete and utter chaos.
We haven’t seen anything like this since the Great Depression of the 1930s, and that should deeply alarm all of us, Michael Snyder concludes.
read more in our Telegram-channel https://t.me/The_International_Affairs